SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
49.38% ( 0.9) | 23.5% ( -0.67) | 27.13% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( 2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( 2.83) | 42.54% ( -2.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( 2.76) | 64.95% ( -2.76) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( 1.44) | 17.37% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.22% ( 2.46) | 47.78% ( -2.46) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( 1.3) | 28.94% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( 1.58) | 64.82% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.7)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.23)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.38% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.24)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.66)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 27.13% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
