Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	ADO Den Haag
49.38% ( 0.9)	23.5% ( -0.67)	27.13% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 58.71% (

2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.46% (

2.83)

42.54% (

-2.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.05% (

2.76)

64.95% (

-2.76)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63% (

1.44)

17.37% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.22% (

2.46)

47.78% (

-2.46)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.06% (

1.3)

28.94% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18% (

1.58)

64.82% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Heracles 49.38%

ADO Den Haag 27.13%

Draw 23.5%

Heracles	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.7) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.89% Total : 49.38%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.66) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.5%	1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 27.13%