SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
41.15% ( 0.65) | 24.2% ( 0.17) | 34.65% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.82% ( -0.96) | 42.18% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( -0.97) | 64.58% ( 0.97) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.11) | 20.66% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -0.17) | 53.23% ( 0.17) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.9) | 23.95% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( -1.3) | 58.18% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.84% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.65% |
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