Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
-0.39) 
0.25) 
