SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | NAC Breda |
64.28% ( -0.39) | 19.83% ( 0.25) | 15.89% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.58% ( -0.94) | 40.42% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.2% ( -0.98) | 62.79% ( 0.96) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.11% ( -0.39) | 11.88% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.8% ( -0.82) | 37.19% ( 0.81) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.55% ( -0.42) | 38.44% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.8% ( -0.4) | 75.19% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.8% Total : 64.27% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.83% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.89% |
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