Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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