SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Groningen |
35.15% ( -0.77) | 24.01% ( 0.17) | 40.84% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.84% ( -0.93) | 41.16% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( -0.95) | 63.55% ( 0.95) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.84) | 23.2% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( -1.24) | 57.1% ( 1.24) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.11) | 20.36% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( -0.19) | 52.77% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.95% Total : 40.84% |
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