Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
-0.77) 
0.17) 
