Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 75.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
