Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
