Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.