SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 2-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| TOP Oss | Draw | Heracles |
21.45% ( -0.64) | 22.14% ( -0.28) | 56.41% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.48) | 42.09% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% ( 0.48) | 64.5% ( -0.47) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% ( -0.32) | 33.4% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( -0.35) | 70.03% ( 0.36) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( 0.47) | 14.76% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( 0.88) | 42.99% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| TOP Oss | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.45% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.41% |
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