SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Heracles in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Jong AZ |
71.77% ( 0.03) | 16.03% ( -0.01) | 12.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.53% ( 0.02) | 30.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.24% ( 0.02) | 51.76% ( -0.02) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.54% ( 0.01) | 7.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.18% ( 0.02) | 26.82% ( -0.02) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( -0.01) | 37.04% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% ( -0.01) | 73.83% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.58% 5-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.94% Total : 71.77% | 1-1 @ 7.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.03% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 12.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
