Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 56.11%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	Heracles
22.17% ( 0.01)	21.72% ( 0)	56.11% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.79% (

-0.01)

39.21% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.46% (

-0.01)

61.54% (

0.01)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

0.01)

31.12% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.55% (

0.01)

67.45% (

-0.01)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.12% (

-0.01)

13.88% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.71% (

-0.01)

41.29% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 22.17%

Heracles 56.11%

Draw 21.72%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.17%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 9.83% 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.87% 1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 56.11%