SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Telstar |
55.63% ( 0.03) | 22.48% ( -0) | 21.88% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( -0) | 43.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% ( -0) | 65.49% ( 0.01) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( 0.01) | 15.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( 0.02) | 44.13% ( -0.01) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( -0.02) | 33.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.8% ( -0.03) | 70.2% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.88% |
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