SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | TOP Oss |
61.7% ( 1.11) | 19.99% ( -0.04) | 18.31% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.29% ( -1.63) | 36.71% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.13% ( -1.8) | 58.87% ( 1.79) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.53% ( -0.2) | 11.47% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.68% ( -0.43) | 36.31% ( 0.42) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( -2.07) | 33.38% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( -2.34) | 70.01% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.57)1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.52% Total : 61.7% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.99% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.01% Total : 18.31% |
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