SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | De Graafschap |
48.37% ( -1.65) | 21.45% ( 0.4) | 30.18% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 68.67% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.53% ( -1.2) | 30.47% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.25% ( -1.45) | 51.75% ( 1.45) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.74% ( -0.94) | 13.26% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.95% ( -1.93) | 40.05% ( 1.93) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( 0.1) | 20.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 0.15) | 53.51% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.37% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.18% |
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