Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong AZ
64.54% ( 0.06)	18.05% ( 0.04)	17.41% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 64.63% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.28% (

-0.36)

28.71% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.37% (

-0.45)

49.63% (

0.46)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.49% (

-0.08)

8.5% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.54% (

-0.22)

29.46% (

0.22)

Jong AZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

-0.33)

29.37% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.65% (

-0.4)

65.35% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 64.54%

Jong AZ 17.41%

Draw 18.05%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong AZ
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 64.54%	1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 18.05%	1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 17.41%