SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong AZ |
45.36% ( -0.24) | 22.26% ( 0.1) | 32.39% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 66.83% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.46) | 33.37% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.86% ( -0.53) | 55.14% ( 0.52) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( -0.26) | 15.37% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( -0.49) | 44.15% ( 0.49) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% ( -0.14) | 21.04% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.16% ( -0.23) | 53.84% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 32.39% |
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