SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
60.43% ( 0.08) | 20.47% ( 0.24) | 19.1% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( -1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.29% ( -1.67) | 37.7% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.05% ( -1.81) | 59.94% ( 1.81) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( -0.49) | 12.12% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.29% ( -1.05) | 37.7% ( 1.04) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( -1.31) | 33.16% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% ( -1.47) | 69.76% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.38)1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.08% Total : 60.43% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.1% |
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