SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong PSV |
63.6% ( 0.03) | 19.18% ( -0.01) | 17.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.27% ( 0.04) | 34.73% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.31% ( 0.04) | 56.69% ( -0.04) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.6% ( 0.02) | 10.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.06% ( 0.04) | 33.94% ( -0.04) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.01) | 33.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( 0.01) | 69.98% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 4.12% Total : 63.6% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.96% 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 17.21% |
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