SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong Ajax |
48.05% ( -0.27) | 22.22% ( 0.07) | 29.73% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 65.41% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( -0.21) | 34.6% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( -0.24) | 56.54% ( 0.24) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( -0.17) | 14.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( -0.32) | 43.24% ( 0.33) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.01) | 23.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.02) | 57.03% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.73% |
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