SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5%) and 1-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Roda JC |
40.69% ( 0.38) | 21.88% ( -0.08) | 37.42% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 69.79% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.38) | 30.09% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.7% ( 0.46) | 51.3% ( -0.45) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% ( 0.31) | 15.79% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.06% ( 0.56) | 44.94% ( -0.56) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( 0.04) | 17.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.66% ( 0.07) | 47.34% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.88% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 37.42% |
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