Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5%) and 1-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.

Result
Dordrecht	Draw	Roda JC
40.69% ( 0.38)	21.88% ( -0.08)	37.42% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 69.79% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.91% (

0.38)

30.09% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.7% (

0.46)

51.3% (

-0.45)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.2% (

0.31)

15.79% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.06% (

0.56)

44.94% (

-0.56)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88% (

0.04)

17.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.66% (

0.07)

47.34% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Dordrecht 40.69%

Roda JC 37.42%

Draw 21.88%

Dordrecht	Draw	Roda JC
2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.88% Total : 40.69%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.28% Total : 37.42%