SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | De Graafschap |
33.74% ( -0.02) | 23.57% ( 0.02) | 42.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.62% ( -0.13) | 39.37% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.29% ( -0.14) | 61.71% ( 0.13) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -0.07) | 23.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( -0.1) | 57.01% ( 0.1) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -0.06) | 18.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( -0.1) | 50.22% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 42.69% |
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