Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
