SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 21.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong AZ |
57.52% ( -0.06) | 21.2% ( 0.02) | 21.28% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.09% ( -0.02) | 37.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.83% ( -0.02) | 60.17% ( 0.02) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% ( -0.02) | 13.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.43% ( -0.05) | 39.57% ( 0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.82% ( 0.03) | 31.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.48% ( 0.04) | 67.52% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.28% |
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