Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
