SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Roda JC |
34.7% ( 0.19) | 24.99% ( -0.04) | 40.31% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.14% ( 0.22) | 45.85% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.83% ( 0.2) | 68.17% ( -0.2) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.21) | 25.65% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( 0.29) | 60.55% ( -0.29) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( 0.02) | 22.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( 0.03) | 56.27% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 40.31% |
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