SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 69.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 13.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Jong AZ |
69.93% ( -0.13) | 17.04% ( 0.05) | 13.02% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.07) | 33.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.71% ( -0.08) | 55.28% ( 0.08) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.41% ( -0.05) | 8.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.33% ( -0.11) | 29.67% ( 0.11) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.06) | 37.89% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.33% ( 0.06) | 74.66% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 69.93% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.05% | 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.02% |
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