Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Roda JC
50.04% ( -0.45)	24.4% ( 0.23)	25.56% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 54.28% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.26% (

-0.8)

47.74% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.07% (

-0.74)

69.93% (

0.74)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0.49)

19.11% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27% (

-0.81)

50.73% (

0.81)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-0.25)

32.9% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.52% (

-0.28)

69.48% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 50.04%

Roda JC 25.56%

Draw 24.39%

De Graafschap	Draw	Roda JC
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.04%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.56%