SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
58.04% ( 0.21) | 22.43% ( -0.08) | 19.53% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.04% ( 0.19) | 45.96% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( 0.18) | 68.27% ( -0.18) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( 0.13) | 15.54% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( 0.25) | 44.47% ( -0.25) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( -0.02) | 37.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.68% ( -0.02) | 74.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.43% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.53% |
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