SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
26.91% ( -0.16) | 23.57% ( 0.02) | 49.51% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( -0.22) | 43.05% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( -0.22) | 65.45% ( 0.22) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( -0.23) | 29.36% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% ( -0.28) | 65.35% ( 0.28) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.03) | 17.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( -0.05) | 48.02% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.91% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 49.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
