Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion
Giousis (20'), Smit (28', 34', 49'),
Plet (87')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Steuckers (24'), Kostons (56'), Van Helden (60')
Van Helden (51')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and MVV Maastricht.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result |
| Telstar | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
50.72% ( -0.05) | 24.36% | 24.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.04) |
| 51.88% ( 0.03) | 48.12% ( -0.04) |
| 29.72% ( 0.03) | 70.28% ( -0.03) |
| 81.02% ( -0.01) | 18.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.47% ( -0.01) | 50.53% ( 0.01) |
| 66.36% ( 0.06) | 33.64% ( -0.06) |
