SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
50.72% ( -0.05) | 24.36% | 24.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( 0.03) | 48.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( 0.03) | 70.28% ( -0.03) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.01) | 18.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% ( -0.01) | 50.53% ( 0.01) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( 0.06) | 33.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( 0.06) | 70.29% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 50.72% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.92% |
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