SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Telstar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Telstar |
31.17% ( 0.39) | 24.86% ( 0.04) | 43.97% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% ( -0.01) | 46.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.39% ( -0.01) | 68.61% ( 0.02) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.25) | 28.05% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( 0.32) | 63.71% ( -0.31) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.19) | 21.11% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( -0.31) | 53.95% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 43.97% |
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