SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Jong PSV |
40.71% ( -0.44) | 25.23% ( -0.06) | 34.05% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0.38) | 47.07% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% ( 0.35) | 69.31% ( -0.35) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.05) | 22.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( -0.07) | 56.76% ( 0.07) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.39% ( 0.48) | 26.61% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( 0.63) | 61.84% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.05% |
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