SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Telstar |
59.99% ( 0.49) | 21.96% ( -0.33) | 18.05% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( 1.15) | 46.11% ( -1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 1.07) | 68.41% ( -1.08) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( 0.54) | 14.95% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.63% ( 1.03) | 43.37% ( -1.03) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.49) | 39.26% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.03% ( 0.45) | 75.97% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.49% Total : 59.97% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.96% | 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.05% |
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