Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
