SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | NAC Breda | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Willem II | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Jong Ajax | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Telstar | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Telstar |
56.46% ( 0.01) | 22.87% | 20.67% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.72% ( -0) | 46.28% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.43% ( -0) | 68.57% ( 0) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( 0) | 16.19% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0) | 45.66% ( -0) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0.01) | 36.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.68% ( -0.01) | 73.32% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 56.45% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.96% 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 3% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.67% |
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