Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
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