SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Telstar |
49.59% ( -0.89) | 24.94% ( 0.32) | 25.46% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% ( -0.88) | 50.11% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.92% ( -0.79) | 72.08% ( 0.8) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( -0.72) | 20.22% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.45% ( -1.16) | 52.55% ( 1.16) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% | 34.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.04% ( 0) | 70.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Telstar |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.46% |
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