Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Telstar win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
-0.89) 
0.32) 
