Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
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