Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
2.83) 
-0.83) 
