SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
28.47% ( 0.36) | 24.02% ( 0.1) | 47.51% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% ( -0.21) | 43.99% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( -0.2) | 66.38% ( 0.2) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.15) | 28.73% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 0.19) | 64.56% ( -0.19) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( -0.26) | 18.66% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% ( -0.44) | 49.98% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.38% Total : 47.51% |
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