Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
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