Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
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