SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Willem II |
21.16% ( 0.03) | 22.43% ( 0.01) | 56.41% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.01) | 43.74% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0) | 66.13% ( -0) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.03) | 34.61% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( 0.03) | 71.33% ( -0.03) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.01) | 15.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( -0.02) | 44.05% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.16% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.54% 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.41% |
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