Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	Roda JC
49.08% ( -0.03)	24.22% ( 0.01)	26.69% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.87% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

-0.02)

46.12% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

-0.02)

68.42% (

0.02)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.14% (

-0.02)

18.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.68% (

-0.03)

50.32% (

0.03)

Roda JC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

31.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52% (

67.47% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Willem II 49.09%

Roda JC 26.69%

Draw 24.22%

Willem II	Draw	Roda JC
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.69%