Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
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