SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Willem II |
37.93% ( 0.03) | 25.24% ( 0.03) | 36.83% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( -0.14) | 46.76% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( -0.13) | 69.02% ( 0.13) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( -0.05) | 24.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.36% ( -0.07) | 58.63% ( 0.07) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -0.1) | 24.86% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( -0.14) | 59.47% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 36.83% |
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