SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 75.9%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 9.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Helmond Sport |
75.9% ( -0.37) | 14.83% ( 0.15) | 9.26% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.02) | 33.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.52% ( -0.02) | 55.48% ( 0.01) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.63% ( -0.08) | 7.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.41% ( -0.2) | 26.58% ( 0.2) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.44% ( 0.45) | 44.55% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.42% ( 0.36) | 80.57% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 75.9% | 1-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 14.83% | 1-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.26% |
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