SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
43.07% ( 2.16) | 23.19% ( 0.15) | 33.74% ( -2.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.83% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.5% ( -1.33) | 37.5% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.27% ( -1.44) | 59.73% ( 1.43) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( 0.36) | 17.88% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.34% ( 0.62) | 48.66% ( -0.62) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -1.81) | 22.27% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( -2.79) | 55.71% ( 2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.88% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.38% Total : 33.74% |
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