Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
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