Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 50.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
