Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
