Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Birmingham City
44.19%	28.7%	27.11%

Both teams to score 43.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.3%

62.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.75%

82.25%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69%

28.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97%

64.03%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.22%

39.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.55%

76.45%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 44.19%

Birmingham City 27.11%

Draw 28.7%

Luton Town	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.19%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.7%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.11%